A Rising Stimulus Lifts All Boats

Posted On February 10, 2021 3:44 am

By Brad Thomas 

Quote for Today:

“Great investing requires a lot of delayed gratification.”

– Charlie Munger

(Source – somewhere in Barcelona)

Oil and gold.

If the one is going up, it’s a sign the economy is gaining ground. If the other is up, investors are nervous about the direction it’s headed.

Or so the thinking goes.

This morning, as I checked the markets at 6:15, crude oil was up 2.37% to $54.82 – a very big deal considering how it hasn’t been over $54 since January of last year. Whereas gold was down $12.90 to $1,851 on the button. The markets were up too after ending in the green yesterday as well. So there’s clearly confidence again.

Stephen Innes of Australian financial services company Axi said that “The sound of more stimulus, which tends to raise all boats, was music to the market’s ears.” By that, he meant that Biden and 10 moderate Republicans met on Monday to discuss more government intervention.

Biden had proposed $1.9 trillion. Republicans countered with $600 billion, but both parties left the meeting calling it a “positive” experience.

Meanwhile, Reddit users are apparently feeling positive about heavily shorted biotech shares. Their newest slogan is #BioWar, which I suppose was inevitable considering what they’re trying to do.

As Yahoo Finance explains it, “Biotechs with little to no revenue have long been the focus of short bets on Wall Street.” Though this one could be a more difficult fight considering how “the battleground is an already crowded arena with hedge funds positioned on both sides.

And, if I might add, “Arena” is probably a perfect word to describe the landscape we’re dealing with these days.

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About author

Dividend Sensei

I'm an Army veteran and former energy dividend writer for The Motley Fool. I'm a proud co-founder of Wide Moat Research, Dividend Kings, and the Intelligent Dividend Investor. My work can be found on Seeking Alpha, Dividend Kings, iREIT, and the Intelligent Dividend Investor. My goal is to help all people learn how to harness the awesome power of dividend growth investing to achieve their financial dreams and enrich their lives. With 24 years of investing experience, I've learned what works and more importantly, what doesn't, when it comes to building long-term wealth and income streams and achieving long-term financial goals.

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